Sunday, May 27, 2007

RCE Capital Berhad


RCE received a strong buy call from Standard & Poor. PM has finally unveiled a much-anticipated and much-deservered pay rise for the civil service.
This move is positive for RCE, which provides financing to the civil service. Its loan book has grown by leaps and bounds, increasing from just RM69mil as at end-June 2005 to RM366mil as at end-Dec 2006. S&P expects this rapid pace to continue, aided in part by the increase in disposable income for the civil service.
The target price is RM1.05. S&P also project strong earnings growth over the next few years.


Saturday, May 26, 2007

It is Nextnation again ...


Recently, there are a few of Nextnat (nX) shareholders are complaining about the weak performance of it's stock price. It closed at RM0.305 last friday (note: the price is adjusted after bonus issue [1:2]). This translates to the closing price of about RM0.46 prior to the bonus issue.
I tend not to write anything about the technique, skill, plan or any know how. This is because I believe everyone has their own way and belief. This only important point is to gain and win money from the stock market.
However, I would like to take this oppurtunity to write something about what I had read in a book about the greatest investor - Warren Buffett. According to the book, investors should not sell or dispose even though the price has dropped 50% from the purchase price. Investors should see the situation as the chance to accumulate more units at cheap/lower price. Of course, this is provided that you have picked up a good counter.
This makes sense to me if you have the holding power. For example, if you bought Genting @ RM20+ before the financial crisis and sold it @ RM10+. Then, you have lost almost 50% of your money. If you hold it and sell it today, I am sure you have made a very good profit as it touched RM40 this year. Furthermore, you will be able to gain more if you bought more @ RM10+.
In the other hand, if you bought a speculation counter or a counter without financial performance support, such as PSCI, Fountain and Karensoft, you should take necessary to cut loss as soon as you can.
In nX case, I do not see any bad or negetive development in the company at the moment. So, I think it is not necessary to dispose nX now. Of course, if you know something else out there which can give you better return, you may go ahead to dispose nX.
Personally, I would see this is a good oppurtunity for me to buy more. Cretainly, I hope there is nothing wrong with their high balances of Trade Receivables and Trade Paybles.

KEURO

According to my friend, it is worthwhile to key an eye on KEURO due to the following news:

Kumpulan Europlus Bhd. (KEUR MK): The Malaysian construction company said its unit signed a concession agreement with the government to build a 3.02 billion ringgit ($891 million) highway on the country's west coast. The concession period is 33 years. The shares added 3 sen, or 3.7 percent, to 85 sen.

Perhaps it is a good trading buy? Good luck ...

mTouche Technology Bhd


As I do not have any positive news about Nexnat, it would be a better way to write about their main competitor - mTouche Technology Bhd.

The important points from comment by TA Securities:

- mTouche 1Q07 result is below analyst expectation, accounting only for 11% TA Securities full year estimates;

- QoQ, revenue declined 21% while net profit was also lowered by 46%; and

- TA Securities is lowering their expectation of contributions from associate companies to zero for FY07.

I also notice that HSBC also dispose their stake in mTouche consistenly recently.

Is it the industry is in the downtrend as consumers have lost their confident over mobile contents services? I would say yes since so many issues with short code owners recently. Of course, Nextnation has been involved too. I think they have to do something to fix this problem.

However, I believe there will be no significant impact to them. They are platforms provider and they are acting like a hypermarket where they provide the services to many other smaller players/customers. Looking at current entertainment programs available in Malaysia, everything is about voting by SMS. I am not sure which program is using their platform but there must be a few. Nextnation is among the dominant players in the market for mobile application services.

If Nextnation Q4 result continues to surge higher, everything would be clear - Nextnation is the mobile application services industry leader in Malaysia.

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

RCE Capital Berhad


As expected, RCE posted another good quarterly result. Revenue is increased from 19mil to 31mil while net profit went up to 16mil from 7mil (comparing Mar'07 vs Mar'06). A final dividend of 1 sen is proposed as well, pending the approval of shareholders in the coming AGM.
For the financial year ended Mar 07, total revenue is 98mil as compared to 57mil, recorded in last financial year. Net profit is increased from 20mil to 63mil as well. However, there is a gain on disposal of investment [~20mil] in this financial year. By ignoring this gain, the net profit is actually increased about 100%.
As company closely linked to Am Group, I believe RCE is set for another higher level in medium term. The company profile is further brought up by the emergences of high profile substantial shareholders, both HSBC and Goldman.
I believe RCE has a very good prospect in the coming year.

Monday, May 21, 2007

.... Nextnation ....


Please visit nexttrade for some information about Nextnation.
The blogger pointed out the main concern that we have - very high trade receivables.
Any bad debt to be written off will hit the financial badly.
Meanwhile, most of the main competitors are not performing that well. For example, mtouche and MNC Wireless which posted not really good quarterly results recently. Does this indicate the downtrend of this industry? Or Nextnation will stand out from them and continue to post impressive result?
Let us wait for Q4 result which is due in June ...

N2N Connect Berhad


N2N Connect Berhad has announced it quarterly result today. The company is doing really well - they leap high!
Revenue is increased from 2.7mil from 9.9mil. (By comparing last year Q vs this year Q). Net profit is increased from 1.3mil to 7.2mil. It is very hard to find a mesdaq company with this set of impressive result. Well, I have to say they are doing better than my favourite, Nextnation.
According to the release, better result are mainly due to:

- increase in matched trade fees generated from eBrokerConnectTM as more transactions were being matched in the online stock trading as evidenced by increased market volume and market value of equities traded on Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad;

- the continuous increase in MobileConnectTM and PDAConnectTM subscribers;

- increase in number of broking houses implementing the Company's financial solution systems, i.e. eBrokerConnect™, MobileConnect™, SMSConnect™ and GlobalConnect, from seven to nine;

- additional income from developing and licensing the Online Trading Game on Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited's website; and
- additional income from software development of financial solutions in e-commerce and m-commerce sector in Saudi Arabia.

It is worth to keep an eye on this company. If they manage to go abroad succesfully, by doing the same thing in Malaysia, it has huge potential.

Sunday, May 20, 2007

Free Messenger from Ozura


This is nothing related to stock market.
I discovered a useful mobile phone application, published by Ozura. Basically, it is a tool where you can connect to 3 different types of messenger at the same time, at low cost as well. They are ICQ, MSN, and Yahoo!.
Please go to this website for further info - http://www.mobeep.com

Quarterly result


Quaterly result for companies with quarter end at 31 Mar will be due soon - by end of May 2007.
'Branded' companies continue to deliver impressive result. As a result, I expect EnO, EnO Prop and Mah Sing Group to announce higher result - both q-to-q and y-to-y.
Sri Tanjung Pinang of EnO continues to be one of the hottest project in Penang Island. I had a look at the other projects in Penang Island and found that the designs of STP units are the most unique and attractive (my personal oppinion). Yet, they are priced at a very competition price. The main advantage of STP is it is located at the prime area - just about 5 minutes drive from Penang Gurney Drive (I guess everyone knows this place). Considering EnO Porp is highly geared, I do not expect any dividend payment from them. However, looking at the track record, I believe EnO will declare at least dividend of 2 sen for the financial year ended 2006. Both companies stock price are holding well at RM3 and RM3.50 respectively. I am still waiting for another 'Easy Money Oppurtunity' where there is a big gap between EnO Prop and EnO. At this moment, the gap is not big enough for me to buy more easily - not comfortable for the margin of safety.
Meanwhile, Mah Sing stock price has been sliding in recently weeks - from the highest of RM5.70 to RM5.30. One of the driver that I could think of is the conversion of warrants where it resulted more shares in the market and we are going through the dilution effect. With it's special management and operation style, I will say that Mah Sing is a must buy counter in property sector. Right Issue, shares split and bonus issue are expected to be completed by July 2007.
Lastly, Sunrise has been trading steadily within the range of RM3.70 to RM4.00 recently. It has announced its impressive quarterly result. Projects at Mont Kiara continue to contribute positively to the company with high sales recorded.

Sunday, May 13, 2007

whereiszeemola - Nextnation

The blogger did a very good research on Nextnat after receiving my request.
Thank you so much!
Please visit the site in order to get more useful information about Nextnation.

Candidates for going private

Read this from The Edge:

1. AmInvestment
2. Batu Kawan Bhd
3. Berjaya Land Bhd
4. Dijaya Corp Bhd
5. Goldis Bhd

Personally, I think Goldis is very attractive as it is still trading below the worth of its stake in IGB. Is this another 'Easy money oppurtunity' like E&O?

Happy Investing ....

Wednesday, May 09, 2007

The Greatest Investor - Warren Buffett


Received this forwarded mail from my friend:

> There was a one hour interview on CNBC with Warren Buffet, the second richest man who has donated $31 billion to charity. Here are some very interesting aspects of his life:

> 1. He bought his first share at age 11 and he now regrets that he started too late!
> 2. He bought a small farm at age 14 with savings from delivering newspapers.
> 3. He still lives in the same small 3-bedroom house in mid-town Omaha,
> that he bought after he got married 50 years ago. He says that he has everything he needs in that house. His house does not have a wall or a fence.

> 4. He drives his own car everywhere and does not have a driver or security people around him.
> 5. He never travels by private jet, although he owns the world's largest private jet company.
> 6. His company, Berkshire Hathaway, owns 63 companies. He writes only
> one letter each year to the CEOs of these companies, giving them goals
> for the year. He never holds meetings or calls them on a regular basis. He has given his CEO's only two rules. Rule number 1: do not lose any of your share holder's money. Rule number 2: Do not forget rule number 1.

> 7. He does not socialize with the high society crowd. His past time after he gets home is to make himself some pop corn and watch Television.

> 8. Bill Gates, the world's richest man met him for the first time only 5 years ago. Bill Gates did not think he had anything in common with Warren Buffet. So he had scheduled his meeting only for half hour. But when Gates met him, the meeting lasted for ten hours and Bill Gates became a devotee of Warren Buffet.

> 9. Warren Buffet does not carry a cell phone, nor has a computer on his desk.
>
> His advice to young people:
> "Stay away from credit cards and invest in yourself and
>
> Remember:
> A. Money doesn't create man but it is the man who created money.
> B. Live your life as simple as you are.
> C. Don't do what others say, just listen them, but do what you feel good.
> D. Don't go on brand name; just wear those things in which u feel comfortable.
> E. Don't waste your money on unnecessary things; just spend on them who really in need rather.
> F. After all it's your life then why give chance to others to rule our life.

Titan - Q107 result

Obviously, Titan posted a disappointed Q1 result. Even though the revenue is higher compares to last quater [Q4'06], the net profit dropped from 200mil++ to 156mil in this quarter.
Looking at current developement in the market, I believe it is not worth to continue parking money in this company. Property counters remain my top priority at this moment.

Saturday, May 05, 2007

Updates: Nextnation


Nextnation has incorporated its subsidiary in India - Nextnation Mobitech India Pte Lrd, via its other susididiary Code Wireless. This is in line the group's overseas market expansion strategies to diversify and grow the revenue base.
No doubt, Nextnation has been doing very well in growing overseas revenue with higher revenue recorded from Q to Q. However, the net profit margin of overseas operation remains a big disappointment, with only ~4%. It is totally no match to the net profit margin from Malaysia operation, which is ~30%.
I am not sure the reason and factor behind to low overseas net profit margin. I hope the management will do something to improve it. I hope they will look at the revenue from Malaysia as well, which is decreasing from Q to Q. More attention should be put in Malaysia since it has high net profit margin. Revenue is important, however it is more important to convert the revenue into net profit.

Meanwhile, funlogix has landed China successfully. Ozura has team up with ChinaByte to launch its first and exclusive tournament based mobile gaming community portal. You can see a few Ozura's games in the portal (http://fun.mostar.on).

Nextnation is growing but the share price is not the case. I expect a better performance in term of share price in second half. Private placement should be completed by June and bonus issues should be allocated to the shareholders by this year as well.

Cumulative net profit in this year is RM15.9mil while the full year net profit for last year is RM16.7. With my personal expectation of at least RM6mil net profit for the last quarter, it would translate the full year net profit ~RM22mil. This represents an increase of ~30% in net profit.

It should be a great year for Nextnation ...

Tuesday, May 01, 2007

Goldman Sachs - RCE Capital


Goldman Sachs made another move in acquiring public company shares in Malaysia.
This time their target is RCE Capital. Filing to Bursa malaysia shows that they acquired 50mil shares or 7.73% stake in the open market on April 18. RCE closed at 81 sen on that day.
Looking at Goldman's track record, I believe RCE share price will easily break RM1 in another 1 or 2 months.

Goldman Sachs is the substantial shareholder for E&O, AsiaEp and StemLife. Look at their share price now ....

It is a golden oppurtunity to buy RCE since it closed at 84 sen which is not far from the price Goldman paid for it.

DiGi


DiGi is scheduled to release its first quarter results on this Thursday. Trading buy oppurtunity as another round of good result is expected from the only telco without 3G. I admire the management team who has done really well even though the government always 'bully' them without giving 3G or Wimax licenses to them. I believe we, the public and the customers are the lossers as we do not have the oppurtunity to enjoy the great services from DiGi.
As Maxis may be taken private, investors will have less options in telcos industry - only Telekom and DiGi. DiGi share price is on the way to a higher level.
Meanwhile, will DiGi to be taken private as well since the single largest shareholder holds the stake tightly and fail to dispose off their stake in order to meet the requirement from the authority?
Fu-yoh .......

Saturday, April 28, 2007

Expect Nothing Ordinary


Finally, E&O Bhd share price has moved up RM2.73 on last Friday. Meanwhile, it's 51% owned subsidiary Putra Perdana closed RM2.02 and its 68% owned E&O Prop Dev closed at RM3.60.
With reference to E&O's stake in E&O Prop Dev, it should value at around or close to E&O Prop Dev share price. This means that E&O Bhd stock price remains undervalued. Not to forget, E&O also owns Putra Perdana and 2 hotels in Penang island. It is really attractive to invest in this company as you almost got the 2 hotels free, at no cost.
I believe I do not need to say anything further about E&O Prop Dev as it has enough publicity. I would like to press on Putra Perdana which is doing quite well. It has declared dividend for it's last quarter result as well.
So, it is a good oppurtunity to buy in now before it continues to rise ...
In conclusion, it is 'Easy Money Opportunity'

Sunday, April 15, 2007

Nextnation inked agreement to venture into Middle East

Nextnat has signed agreement with Tawasul Telekom (Saudi Arabia) via its wholly owned subsidiary, Usape Nelson Wireless Sdn Bhd. I believe this agreement will put more weight in content provider area.
Content provision is considered as low end products in mobile value added services as it is nothing special. Many companies can provide this as it does not incur high start-up capital. Just look thru the newspapers and magazines available in Malaysia, there are so many content providers!
However, I believe Nextnat will be able to take advantage of this partnership to introduce its technologies and other products into Middle East region. In other words, Nexnat continues its expansion plan with the venture into new market in the region. As I mentioned in my earlier blog, investors are not able to know the contribution from each business segments as the financial reports of Nextnat are at consolidated level where no further information and detail is available.
Meanwhile, Nexnat also partners with Buena Bista Columbia Tristar Films Sdn Bhd to offer free movie trailers for mobile phone via the Mobileklub WAP Portal. This may be the starting point for new content provision where movies will be hot items instead of ringtones and wallpapers only. This may lead big corporates such as banks and telcos to purchase video ring back tones from Nextnat. The growth oppurtunities are always there for Nextnat ...
Looking back at Q3 result, there is no suprise as everything was as expected. For the last Q that will due in June 07, I expect Nextnat to achieve net profit of RM6mil. The expectation may be a bit high but I think its achievable.

Sunrise Berhad


Analysts called for a 'buy' with a target price of RM4.60 for Sunrise. It is now trading at RM3.28, representing a potential 40% upside - quoted by The Edge.
Property sector is set to perform after the exemption of RPGT and recent positive measures annoounced by the goverment.
Sunrise is the major developer for Mont Kiara where they bought cheap landbank at Segambut due to they are the advantage of first-mover at the area. Its land cost is estimated at RM41.30 per sq ft. vs market price of RM300 per sq ft.
Besides that, they have built a very strong brand name for themselves. This is proven where 40% of its buyers are repeat buyers - those who have purchased Sunrise homes before. This is a very good indication as the repeat sales indicates that buyers are confident with the projects developed by Sunrise. Quality is certainly there to attract repeat buyers.
Take-up rate for projects is very high as well, with at least 70% for its latest project - 10@ Mont Kiara, has already exceeded 80% sales.
Personally, I still prefer those property stocks that have been delivering good results instead of IDR theme counters. My top three preferences are Sunrise, E&O and Mah Sing.

Still worth buying - From The Edge

Below are the 10 stocks that consider as still worth buying by The Edge:

1. Tenaga
2. Time dotCom
3. Opus International
4. Tong Herr
5. Tanjong PLC
6, Affic Holdings
7. Magnum Corp
8. MRCB
9. Masteel
10. Bumiputra-Commerce.

My personal perferences are Tong Herr, Masteel and Bumiputra-Commerce.