Wednesday, March 28, 2007

Nextnation - Q3 result

Finally, Nextnat announced their Q3 result.
Nothing to 'wow' about. Below is the brief summary of the result:

Revenue: 28.2 mil
Profit : 5.6 mil
EPS : 2.5 sen

Everything is within expectation with not impressive overseas result. Please refer to the breakdown:

Revenue : Malaysia - 17.2 mil; Other countries: 14.1 mil
Net profit : Malaysia - 5.1 mil; Other countries: 0.6 mil

I wondering what are happening to the overseas operation for the low net profit. Something must be done before it is too late.

Private placement is not completed with another application to SC to extend it for another 3 months (still pending the approval from SC). Bonus issue will be done after the completion of private placement.

Once again, please do not enter Nextnat if you intend to trade short-term. You have almost 99.9% chances of losing your money.

Saturday, March 24, 2007

Target Prices

Read the following target prices from Oriental Business:

Genting RM52.60
Waseong RM 3.30
Coastal RM 2.17
Ramunia RM 1.45
SOP RM 4.20
MRCB RM 2.50
Zelan RM11.00
THPlant RM 3.70
ALAM RM 4.20
Maxis RM13.40
WCT RM 6.00
Maybank RM14.20
Kulim RM 7.05

Monday, March 19, 2007

MEMS (0052)


Finally, Legg Mason has emerged as the substantial shareholder for MEMS. They bought 33,000,00 units which represent 5.04% of interest in MEMS. This has ended the rumour and speculation created last week when MEMS stock price keeps moving up.
The date of acquired is 14 March 2007. Let's make an assumption that the purchase price is the lowest on the day, which is RM0.55. MEMS closed at RM0.71 today.
Legg Mason has bought in GPacket quite sometimes ago @ RM2.5+ and GPacket share price has moved up to RM5++ after that.
So, how much return do you think Legg Mason is aiming for the investment in MEMS?

Sunday, March 18, 2007

Oh .. Nextnation ... oh ....


Once again, Nextnation stock price is lack of support again - with closing price of RM0.565. Perhaps this is the reason the fund manager whose people describe him as 'Asia Warren Buffett' - Mr Tan from Pheim Asset Management decided to sell it not long ago.
Nextnation was in press highlight when it's subsidiaries were among the content firms that been suspended due to the failure to terminate processes. There are 2 subsidiaries that I managed to find from the list - Dubaitech and Nextnation Network. No matter what is the reason, it gives bad impression to the customers and investors.
Nexnat also stated that this did not result in material financial or operational impact to them.
I am waiting the Q3 result from them before I take any action. To dispose or to accumulate and wait patiently again?
If I got a chance, I would like to attend their AGM this year with the below Q:

- What are the factors that drive the bonus issues cant get completed after almost 1 year?
- Why private placements cant get completed after such a long time as well?
- Can they provide more details financial report? their major revenue contributor is from content providing? service support such as mobile application softwares? or Ozura mobile games?
- Why revenue from Malaysia is decreasing?
- Why some of the overseas subsidiaries are in loss making position? which country?
- Why their websites remain unpopular? is due to lack of RnD in internet research?
- Why the profit margin is squeezed? they had about 50% profit magin before they are listed.

ASIAEP BHD (0039)


AsiaEP current price looks very attractive to either speculators or investors - with closing price of RM0.82 last Friday (16 March).
It did not catch my attention until a foreign investor - Goldman Sachs bought a stake of 5%+ into AsiaEP. I just simply ignored it even though I read the research report from Kenanga Investment Bank with a target price of RM0.99.
Now, I have bought AsiaEP in dip a few days ago due to the believe of 'Goldman effect'. The purchase price of Goldman (which was during the market price) should be around RM0.60++. This purchase price should be a very support for AsiaEP stock price. Looking at the impressive track record of Goldman in investing in Bursa Malaysia, I believe AsiaEP has the potential to cross RM1.00 in the near term, provided the market is stable with no major decrease. Goldman has invested in E&O and Stemlife. Both of them give Goldman at least RM1 unrealised gain at this moment. As a result, RM1.50 is my target price for AsiaEP in the near term.

Notes: Kenanga has issued another research report with target price of RM1.97 a few weeks ago (although it was only published in Star paper on Saturday).

Tuesday, March 13, 2007

Property stocks are hot

Read this information from The Edge (http://www.theedgedaily.com/cms/content.jsp?id=com.tms.cms.article.Article_4ab6c5b1-cb73c03a-22ce0000-cc27dfdb).

Top picks from CIMB are SP Setia and Mah Sing. Looking at today closing prices, Mah Sing is a good buy as it yet to recover back to RM5. It would be a bit risky in my opinion to buy SP Setia at this moment due to the price has increased to RM7+. Generally, the direction for Bursa Malaysia is not clear at this point of time. So, I would not bet in those stocks which their prices are close to all time high.

Meanwhile, E&O remains undervalued. E&O subsidiary - Putra Perdana has been doing very well recently with the award of 2 additional contracts. E&O Property Development stock price is closed at RM2.4+ today. E&O share price does not move much and as I mentioned before, it is one of the safest stock for medium-long term invesment purpose.

Finally, Sunrise Bhd continues it's uptrend where it hit intra day high at RM2.40 before it closed at RM2.33 today. Looking at the current trend, fund managers may bought a stake in Sunrise. Will it be either Goldman, UBS or Capital Group?

All the best!

Saturday, March 10, 2007

Mah Sing Group Berhad


Share price of Mah Sing continues to be weak after a strong rebound to RM5.05 from RM3++ a few days ago. It closed at RM4.70 on yesterday (9 March 2007).
I received a circular from Mah Sing this morning. It is related to the coming EGM which is on 29 March 2007.
From the past tracks, Mah Sing will complete their proposals in a very fast manner. It is great time to accumulate Mah Sing as they will split every 1 existing ordinary share (RM1.00) into 2 ordinary shares (RM0.50). Then, bonus issue is on the basis of 1 new ordinary share of RM0.50 each for every five existing ordinary shares of RM0.50 each.
With reference to the past trends, share price of quality stocks will be moving up after splitting of ordinary share as more investors will be able to buy since the stock price is lower.
Target price of RM6.50 by Citigroup will be achieveable in the near term if market continues to be stable.

Sunday, March 04, 2007

Mah Sing Group Bhd


Read this in The Edge Brokers' Digest:

Citigroup set a new target price of RM6.50 for Mah Sing Group Bhd.
Some of the highlights:
- Mah Sing has high earnings visibility with good landbanking track record and strong financial position.
- New projects will drive the growth with six new projects expected in FY2007.
- To gain from its land in Johor
- Possibility of diveestment of its non-core plastics division and resulting special dividends.

Looking at the market drop recently, it provides better oppurtunity to entry point for Mah Sing Group.

Saturday, March 03, 2007

A bad week


Global stock market dropped dramatically in last week. It all began with the slump in Shanghai market. It hit other countries' market badly, which included our local market, Bursa Malaysia.
This has caused the strategy to buy-in before the quarterly announcements did not work. Maybank, CIMB and Maxis announced very impressive results. However, due to weak market sentiment, the stock prices did not move up. Instead, they dropped which were in line with the market trend.
However, I am still very confident with quality property stocks. I bought in Sunrise Bhd when I discovered a great opportunity where heavy selling has pushed the price down to RM1.80 on Friday morning. Sunrise is the main develop for Mont Kiara, Kuala Lumpur. With the possibilty of elimination of capital gain tax on properties, it may push property stocks to a higher level(as if the market recovers or at least no more sudden drop).
There is no surprise from Mahsing's quarterly announcement. No higher dividend is proposed. I believe this is driven by the on-going projects which need huge sum of capital. Personally, I am looking for The Icon from them. Anyway, I am in a loss position at the moment. However, I am still holding it as I believe the management team will bring Mahsing to a higher level. I am waiting for the oppurtunity (like what happened to Sunrise) to accumulate more. Proposal of bonus issue (1 for 4) and share split (from RM1 to RM0.50) should be completeted in 1H of 2007. If I remember correctly, Mahsing's CEO mentioned that it will by April'07.